The North American automotive market will ship more than 10 million robotic vehicles in 2032, according to a new study by ABI Research, with the first driverless vehicles appearing at the start of the next decade.
“While the technological feasibility of autonomous vehicles is being demonstrated by Google (Mountain View, CA, USA), Audi (Ingolstadt, Germany), Volvo (Gothenburg, Sweden), Bosch (Stuttgart, Germany) and Continental (Hannover, Germany), obstacles such as high costs and lack of legislation remain,” said Dominique Bonte, an ABI Research vice president and practice director.
“On the other hand, the benefits of autonomous vehicles in terms of safety, cost savings, efficiency, and positive impact on the economy, are driving research and development efforts globally,” added Bonte. “With ADAS-type assistance features already being implemented on a wide scale, the next phase of autonomous co-pilot type vehicles will materialize in this decade. Fully autonomous, self-driving, robotic vehicles will appear ten years from now.”
According to ABI Research, autonomous driving is set to transform the auto industry and, indeed, society as a whole, triggering a rise in car sharing and a decline in vehicle ownership.
The market-research company says that autonomous driving technology forms a framework for automotive strategy development, and says the current focus on passive safety functionality – such as emergency calling, integrated smartphone-based infotainment, advanced HMI addressing driver distraction and UBI – will become less relevant as the shift towards active safety and automation makes driver-centric features partially redundant.
Nevertheless, progress in this area will require governments around the world to introduce legislation that allows autonomous driving to flourish, recognizes ABI Research.