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Slow economy could help MetroPCS expansion

Carrier planning launch in Philadelphia, Boston and New York City

      

If the past can guide the future, a slow economy could boost MetroPCS as it launches in the Northeast markets in Philadelphia, Boston and New York City over the next year, a company executive said at the Lehman Brothers Worldwide Wireless and Wireline Conference in New York.


As a prepaid service, MetroPCS avoids deadbeats and having to structure calling plans. It also comes in with an unlimited bucket of minutes so that cost-conscious consumers can use the mobile service as a wireline replacement, said Braxton Carter, the carrier’s executive vice president and chief financial officer.

“Future opportunities are significant with the Northeast Corridor” where MetroPCS will use its AWS spectrum, first launched earlier this year in Las Vegas, he said. “Philadelphia is positioned for the fourth quarter (of 2008); Boston for the first quarter of ’09 and New York for the first half of 2009.”

Dense urban markets, where MetroPCS concentrates, are ripe for about 15 percent penetration based on the MetroPCS business model of unlimited calling time, enhanced in- building coverage and a low pre-paid flat rate ranging from $30 to $50 a month. It’s a proven winner in even the most depressed markets, Carter said.

“Detroit (where the carrier launched in April 2006) has been a severely depressed city since well before a launch. We’ve exceeded five percent penetration in the first 12 months so the growth and the demand has been there in a difficult environment. We’ve seen a higher usage profile, upwards of 20 percent higher than our average in that market, and we’re seeing a churn profile that is on the lower end of all our operating markets.”

This, he said, points to the service’s viability as a wireline replacement.

“What better model do you have than a model that’s unlimited in nature, which is the wireline paradigm and a very heavy focus in all our networks in in-building coverage?” he asked.

The carrier currently has 60 million POPs in its existing markets covering 4.4 million customers. It will add 40 million more for the three Northeast Corridor markets.

“The cluster of these three markets and what it can bring to the table and the opportunity here in these highly dense major metropolitan areas is going to be incredible,” Carter predicted.

With 15 percent penetration, MetroPCS could add nine million customers to its existing base, he said.

While the carrier’s business is primarily voice-based — and MetroPCS customers typically use over 2,000 minutes of calling time a month — it doesn’t ignore data, he said.

“We’re never going to be a leader in data but we’re definitely a fast follower. We launched one of the first BREW platforms in the country; have all the innovative new data offerings such as ringback tones; (and) we’re starting to experiment with location-based services. We have an unlimited browsing capability in our $50 rate plan (so) I think there’s going to be tremendous revenue opportunity in that area in upcoming years.”

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